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	<title>Wood on Fire - Topics of Lumber Industry</title>
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		<title>Real Estate: Gold Ratio Falls to 30 Year Low &#8211; PragCap</title>
		<link>http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/real-estate-gold-ratio-falls-to-30-year-low-pragcap/</link>
		<comments>http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/real-estate-gold-ratio-falls-to-30-year-low-pragcap/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 23:59:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>gbranecky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real estate pricing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[median sales price]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[27 JANUARY 2012 BY CULLEN ROCHE After record bear and bull markets in both real estate and gold, the real estate:gold ratio might be telling us that we’ve reached an extreme trough in real estate prices.  The ratio hasn’t been &#8230; <a href="http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/real-estate-gold-ratio-falls-to-30-year-low-pragcap/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=woodonfire.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5612046&amp;post=2716&amp;subd=woodonfire&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2></h2>
<div id="stats">27 JANUARY 2012 BY CULLEN ROCHE</div>
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<p>After record bear and bull markets in both real estate and gold, the real estate:gold ratio might be telling us that we’ve reached an extreme trough in real estate prices.  The ratio hasn’t been this low in over 30 years (via <a href="https://www.chartoftheday.com/orderform.htm" target="_blank">Chart of the Day</a>):</p>
<blockquote>
<div align="justify">“Severely depressed real estate prices continue to be a concern for <a id="itxthook0" href="http://pragcap.com/real-estate-gold-ratio-falls-to-30-year-low#" rel="nofollow">investors</a>. For some perspective on the magnitude of the decline in home prices, today’s chart presents the median single-family home price divided by the price of one ounce of gold. This results in the home / gold ratio or the cost of the median single-family home in ounces of gold. For example, it currently takes a relatively low 105 ounces of gold to buy the median single-family home. This is dramatically less than the 601 ounces it took back in 2001. When priced in gold, the median single-family home is down over 80% from its 2001 peak, remains well within the confines of a six-year accelerated downtrend and remains very near its 1980 trough.”</div>
<div align="center"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://www.chartoftheday.com/20120127.gif" alt="" width="454" height="340" /></div>
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<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/tag/gold/'>gold</a>, <a href='http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/tag/median-sales-price/'>median sales price</a>, <a href='http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/tag/real-estate-pricing/'>Real estate pricing</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2716/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=woodonfire.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5612046&amp;post=2716&amp;subd=woodonfire&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Homeowners by Age</title>
		<link>http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/homeowners-by-age/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 23:41:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>gbranecky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[homeownership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lawrence Yun]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Association of Home Builders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Association of Realtors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real estate economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Housing Market]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Homeowners by Age. On January 13, 2012, in Economist Commentaries, by Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist In 2000 (a very normal housing year without a bubble), with virtually no discussion of it in the media or in the academic community, 67 percent &#8230; <a href="http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/2012/01/27/homeowners-by-age/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=woodonfire.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5612046&amp;post=2710&amp;subd=woodonfire&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org/2012/01/13/homeowners-by-age/#.TyM1bAR7eM8.wordpress">Homeowners by Age</a>.</p>
<div class="copy fix" style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:10px 30px 0;">
<div class="post-header fix post-nothumb" style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;display:inline;width:579px;float:left;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:0;">
<div class="post-title-section fix" style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:0;">
<div class="post-title fix" style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0 0 .4em;padding:0;">
<div class="metabar" style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:0;"><em>On January 13, 2012, in <a style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;color:#999999;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:0;" title="View all posts in Economist Commentaries" href="http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org/category/economist-commentaries/" rel="category tag">Economist Commentaries</a>, by Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist</em></div>
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<div class="copy fix" style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:10px 30px 0;">
<div class="textcontent" style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:0;">
<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:#ffffff;position:static;font-family:georgia, times, serif;line-height:20px;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:0 0 5px 415px;"></div>
<p style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:#ffffff;font-family:georgia, times, serif;line-height:20px;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0 0 1em;padding:0;">In 2000 (a very normal housing year without a bubble), with virtually no discussion of it in the media or in the academic community, 67 percent of Americans lived as a homeowning household. Then came the easy credit conditions which fueled home buying beyond normal and the ownership rate rose to 69 percent. But the subsequent bust brought the ownership rate down to today’s 66 percent.</p>
<p style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:#ffffff;font-family:georgia, times, serif;line-height:20px;text-align:center;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0 0 1em;padding:0;"><a style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;color:#005299;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:0;" href="http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org/files/2012/01/Capture16.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-6573 aligncenter" style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:transparent;display:block;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;padding:0;" title="Capture" src="http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org/files/2012/01/Capture16.jpg" alt="" width="526" height="314" /></a></p>
<p style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:#ffffff;font-family:georgia, times, serif;line-height:20px;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0 0 1em;padding:0;">Not all age groups had similar experiences throughout this cycle. The very young were mildly impacted. The very old did not on average feel any pain – at least according to the statistics, though no doubt there were some retirees who painfully lost a home to a foreclosure. The big impact was felt among people in their 30’s, who have much the same homeownership rate today as back in 2000, well before the bubble. It is also this group where there is potential for re-entering into the homeownership market in the near future.</p>
<p style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:#ffffff;font-family:georgia, times, serif;line-height:20px;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0 0 1em;padding:0;">Also note the general higher ownership rate as people get older and more mature and presumably become more responsible. Note the very high ownership rate among the 65-and-over population, who would have for the large part already paid off their mortgages.</p>
<p style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:#ffffff;font-family:georgia, times, serif;line-height:20px;text-align:center;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0 0 1em;padding:0;"><a style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;color:#005299;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;border-width:0;margin:0;padding:0;" href="http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org/files/2012/01/Capture14.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-6556 aligncenter" style="outline-width:0;outline-style:initial;outline-color:initial;vertical-align:baseline;background-image:initial;background-attachment:initial;background-color:transparent;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:.4em;border-color:initial;border-style:initial;padding:0;" title="Capture1" src="http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org/files/2012/01/Capture14.jpg" alt="" width="602" height="339" /></a></p>
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<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/tag/homeownership/'>homeownership</a>, <a href='http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/tag/lawrence-yun/'>Lawrence Yun</a>, <a href='http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/tag/national-association-of-home-builders/'>National Association of Home Builders</a>, <a href='http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/tag/national-association-of-realtors/'>National Association of Realtors</a>, <a href='http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/tag/real-estate-economics/'>Real estate economics</a>, <a href='http://woodonfire.wordpress.com/tag/u-s-housing-market/'>U.S. Housing Market</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/woodonfire.wordpress.com/2710/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=woodonfire.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5612046&amp;post=2710&amp;subd=woodonfire&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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