by CalculatedRisk on 10/19/2011
Privately-owned housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 658,000. This is 15.0 percent (±13.7%) above the revised August estimate of 572,000 and is 10.2 percent (±13.3%)* above the September 2010 rate of 597,000.
Single-family housing starts in September were at a rate of 425,000; this is 1.7 percent (±9.4%)* above the revised August figure of 418,000. The September rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 227,000.
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 594,000. This is 5.0 percent (±1.3%) below the revised August rate of 625,000, but is 5.7 percent (±2.6%) above the September 2010 estimate of 562,000.
Single-family authorizations in September were at a rate of 417,000; this is 0.2 percent (±1.0%)* below the revised August figure of 418,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 158,000 in September.
Total housing starts were at 658 thousand (SAAR) in September, up 15.0% from the revised August rate of 572 thousand. Most of the increase was for multi-family starts.
Single-family starts increased 1.7% to 425 thousand in September.
The second graph shows total and single unit starts since 1968.
This shows the huge collapse following the housing bubble, and that housing starts have been mostly moving sideways for about two years and a half years – with slight ups and downs due to the home buyer tax credit.
Multi-family starts are increasing in 2011 – although from a very low level. This was well above expectations of 590 thousand starts in September.
Single family starts are still “moving sideways”.