QOTD: Housing “markets get healthy from the bottom up”

QOTD: Housing “markets get healthy from the bottom up”

by CalculatedRisk on 1/17/2012  

From the WSJ: From Bottom Up, Signs of Housing Recovery (ht Brian)

Across Westchester, the number of buyers in contract to buy homes priced less than $500,000 at the end of 2011 rose by nearly 40% compared to a year earlier, according to a market report issued by the broker Houlihan Lawrence. Sales weakened at higher price points.

Analysts have noted a similar pattern in New Jersey. Sales have picked up due to buyers of properties priced less than $400,000, according to data compiled by the Otteau Valuation Group. The number of such contracts signed during the fourth quarter rose by 11.3% compared to the same period a year earlier.

Analysts said housing-market recoveries often begin at the bottom.

“It is nice when you get the high end of the market doing well,” said Chris Meyers, chief operating officer of Houlihan Lawrence, the largest residential brokerage in Westchester, “but in our experience the strong markets get healthy from the bottom up.”

The article doesn’t discuss the role of investors buying, and investor buying is at record levels in California and other bubble states.

Also the article doesn’t mention the higher conforming loan limits from Fannie and Freddie in Westchester. But there is some truth to the quote “markets get healthy from the bottom up”.

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