Tag Archives: RealtyTrac

Foreclosure Activity Increased Nationally in 2nd Quarter

Foreclosure Activity Increased Nationally in 2nd Quarter.

First-half foreclosure activity did increase from a year ago in 20 states, including Indiana (32%), Pennsylvania (24%), South Carolina (23%), Connecticut (23%), Florida (23%), and Illinois (22%). An 18 % year-over-year increase in California foreclosure starts in June helped boost that state’s foreclosure rate to highest nationwide for the month. It was the first month California’s foreclosure rate ranked No. 1 since RealtyTrac began issuing its report in January 2005.

 Overall foreclosure activity — as opposed to properties where activity was initiated — in June decreased on a year-over-year basis for the 21st consecutive month, but foreclosure starts for the month increased annually for the second consecutive month.

U.S. properties foreclosed in the second quarter were in the foreclosure process an average of 378 days from the initial foreclosure notice to the completed foreclosure, up from 370 days in the first quarter and a record high going back to the first quarter of 2007.  Although the average time to foreclose increased nationwide, it was down in some of the states with the longest foreclosure timelines. The average time to foreclose in New York decreased from 1,056 days in the first quarter to 1,001 days in the second quarter, a 5% drop — although the state still maintained the longest time to foreclose nationwide.  The average time to foreclose decreased 3%  in New Jersey, the state with the second longest foreclosure process, and was down 1% in Pennsylvania, the state with the seventh longest time to foreclose.

 Bank-owned (REO) properties that sold in the second quarter took an average of 195 days to sell from the time they were foreclosed, up from 178 days in the first quarter. REO properties took the longest to sell in New York, at 430 days, followed by Arkansas at 357 days and New Jersey at 354 days.  U.S. properties in the foreclosure process that sold in the second quarter (typically short sales) took an average of 319 days to sell from the time they entered the foreclosure process, up from 306 days in the first quarter. Pre-foreclosure sales took the longest in New York, at 788 days on average, followed by New Jersey at 753 days and Connecticut at 630 days

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Bloomberg article on House Prices

Bloomberg article on House Prices

by CalculatedRisk on 4/03/2012  

Several people have sent me this Bloomberg article by Kathleen Howley: Home Prices Seen Dropping 10% in U.S. on Foreclosures: Mortgages

From the second paragraph:

Sales of repossessed properties probably will rise 25 percent this year from 1 million in 2011, according to Moody’s Analytics Inc. Prices for the homes could drop as much as 10 percent because they deteriorated as they were held in reserve during investigations by state officials resolved in February, according to RealtyTrac Inc.

So RealtyTrac is saying prices for some repossessed properties could fall 10 percent “because they deteriorated” while in the foreclosure process. That sounds correct, but that isn’t overall prices.

Later in the article, Howley does quote an economist predicting a further 5% to 10% price decline this year:

The [Case-Shiller Composite 20] index probably will fall 5 percent to 10 percent this year, a range that depends on the condition of the mothballed homes, [Patrick Newport, an economist at IHS Global Insight] said.

That compares with a forecast for a 2.9 percent decline by Celia Chen, a housing economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester, Pennsylvania, and a prediction of a 3.9 percent decline by Diane Swonk, chief economist of Mesirow Financial Inc. in Chicago.

An added thought: The most recent Case-Shiller report was for January. If the Composite 20 index fell as much from January through March as in 2011, prices are already down 3% this year as of the end of March (Compare that to Celia Chen and Diane Swonk’s predictions for the year).

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